Saturday, June 23, 2012

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Cruel cuts: Is all breast cancer surgery necessary?

Growing evidence suggests that not all cases of early-stage breast cancer would be deadly. Should surgeons be leaving well alone?

THE lump in her right breast was smaller than a pea. When she first noticed it, last August, 28-year-old photographer Ellen Doherty was busy working on an exhibition. She put off visiting the doctor for a month.

When Doherty finally went, the doctor said it was probably nothing to worry about. But they did a scan to be sure - and that led to several more tests. Finally they said she had a 2.8-millimetre tumour known as ductal carcinoma in situ, or DCIS.

Like many women given this diagnosis, Doherty had never heard of it before. She quickly devoured any information she could find, but came away confused.

The term "in situ" means that the cancerous cells are contained within the breast's milk ducts and have not invaded the surrounding tissue. This kind of lesion is not harmful unless it progresses past that stage and becomes invasive, but it is treated just as aggressively as invasive cancer. Yet this approach is increasingly being questioned as evidence emerges that for some women DCIS would not turn out to be dangerous.

In fact, DCIS could be regarded as a creation of modern medicine, as most cases are found through breast screening - 30 years ago it was rarely diagnosed. The fear is that screening may be leading us to cut out lumps that, left alone, would have never caused a problem. "Are we helping people by diagnosing it, or are we making things worse?" asks Beth Virnig, who monitors cancer surveillance and detection data at the University of Minnesota in Minneapolis. Breast cancer used to be discovered only if it formed a noticeable lump or caused other symptoms such as nipple discharge. Since the advent of breast screening programmes using X-rays known as mammograms in the 1980s, it is more commonly found that way. And that means growing numbers of DCIS cases are being detected. In the US, the incidence has grown more than eight-fold since the 1980s (see graph). DCIS now makes up about a quarter of breast cancer cases found through screening.

When a mammogram turns up an abnormality the next step is a biopsy to remove a small sample of the tissue in question. If the diagnosis is DCIS, the options are the same as for invasive cancer: excision of a lump containing the growth, if possible, or removal of the breast. To Doherty this seemed bizarre: "How can they cut one of your boobs off for something that's not going to kill you?"

Doherty had a lumpectomy in November, but while she was recovering, a doctor called to say the affected tissue was more widespread than they thought and they hadn't cut out enough. In January she had a mastectomy.

This zero-tolerance approach to DCIS is based on the assumption that, given the chance, it will progress to invasive cancer. Yet no one knows how often that assumption is correct.
Disappearing tumours

It may sound surprising but people can have small cancers that do them no harm; autopsies can reveal "incidental cancers" that were not the cause of death. Some tumours are so slow-growing that they never cause a problem, while others, including some cases of breast cancer, go away on their own, presumably eliminated by the immune system.

Scour the medical literature for a figure for how often DCIS progresses to invasive cancer if left untreated and you will find estimates as low as 14 per cent and as high as 75 per cent, a range so broad as to be almost meaningless. There has never been a large study of women given this diagnosis who don't have surgery, so the progression rate can only be inferred by indirect means.

Take, for instance, a study of laboratory tissue samples from women who had a breast lump biopsied many decades ago, and went untreated because tests at the time indicated it was benign. Re-examining those biopsies turned up some in which a mistake had been made and the woman actually had DCIS. Of 71 such cases where they could track down the women, about half had gone on to develop invasive breast cancer.

That figure is probably an overestimate, though, because the women in that study had DCIS that had grown big enough to be felt as a lump. "Mammographically detected DCIS has a much lower risk of invasive cancer than DCIS detected [as a lump]," says Karla Kerlikowske, an epidemiologist at the University of California, San Francisco (UCSF).

There is another kind of evidence that suggests our current approach might be wrong. If this condition usually progresses to invasive cancer, then catching and cutting out more cases of DCIS should lead to a drop in cases of invasive cancer. That is what has happened with colon cancer: the removal of small precancerous growths, or polyps, in the colon detected through screening by colonoscopy has coincided with falling rates of colon cancer (see graph).

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